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Emerson College Poll: Trump Ahead of Biden by 3 Points

Biden and Trump
Biden and Trump (Credits: CTV News)

A recent national poll conducted by Emerson College has revealed a shift in the political landscape, showing former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden.

The survey, conducted from April 16-17 among 1,308 registered voters, indicates that Trump holds a narrow lead over Biden, with 46% of respondents supporting Trump compared to 43% for Biden. This marks a slight decline for Biden since the previous Emerson poll in early April, where he had garnered 45% support.

Despite the close race between the two major-party candidates, the poll also highlights the impact of independent candidates on the race. When independent candidates are included, Trump’s support drops to 44% while Biden’s drops to 40%.

Biden and Trump (Credits: CNN)

Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. garners 8% support, with an additional 8% of respondents undecided. Another independent candidate, Cornel West, receives 1% support.

Key issues driving voter sentiment include immigration and the economy. The majority of respondents, 70%, express concerns about the rising cost of living. Interestingly, those who believe that the cost of living is increasing are more likely to support Trump over Biden, with 56% favoring Trump compared to 32% for Biden.

Conversely, among those who perceive the cost of living as either easing or remaining stable, Biden holds a strong lead over Trump, with 94% and 67% support respectively.

The poll also sheds light on public perceptions of the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. A large number of respondents, 44%, are unsure if they are getting all the necessary information about the conflict.

Biden and Trump Campaigns (Credits: CNN)

This skepticism translates into political preferences, with Biden leading among those who believe they are receiving accurate information (53% to 36%), while Trump leads among skeptics (53% to 38%). Respondents who are unsure about the accuracy of information are evenly divided, with 44% leaning towards Trump and 42% towards Biden.

The Emerson College poll highlights how changeable the political scene is, showing shifting support for major-party candidates and the possible impact of independent candidates. As the election progresses, public opinion on important issues and views on international events will probably have a big influence on how people decide to vote.

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