Donald Trump’s campaign rhetoric often features claims of a rampant and out-of-control crime wave despite data indicating a decrease in homicides and violent crimes. He attributes this supposed surge to “migrant crime” and claims that official numbers are “phony.”
However, experts and organizations like the FBI, the Council on Criminal Justice, and local law enforcement agencies agree that crime has been declining nationwide, with a 6% drop in homicides in 2022 and a 13% drop in 2023.
Trump’s claims are reminiscent of his 2016 lies about unemployment and murder rates. His “alternative facts” appeal to biases and fears, and many voters believe him despite the lack of evidence. In reality, serious crime rates have remained below 1990s levels, and progress in reducing crime is uneven across cities.
Trump Exaggerates Crime Rates, Critics Say
Experts dismiss claims of a migrant crime wave and partisan spin on crime spikes. The Manhattan Institute found no correlation between Trump’s electorate and homicide rates. Despite this, 77% of Americans believe crime has increased, likely due to political and media narratives.
To combat this “post-fact” world, community leaders, citizens, and politicians must repudiate “alternative facts” and hold those who spread misinformation accountable. We need to ask tough questions about motives, integrity, and authority and promote trust in experts and facts. Only then can we address real issues and make informed decisions.
